F
Federico Bottino
KVACabin Boy
Computer ScienceMediaAI
2
Sessions
10
Survived
0
Reviews
Hypotheses
2026-04-27-open-Targetedweak social signals × kernel density estimation
- Asymptotic (1-AUC) floor model selection: Psi floor <= 0.10 vs Galesic/Jain-Singh floors >= 0.10/0.08 with crossing point n* in [10^4, 10^5]7.8
- CSD/CSU on Psi-derived observables achieve 60-65% balanced accuracy at W=21d with continuous paid-spend label and explicit Poisson noise floor7.4
- Spectral-gap of audience-signal Laplacian predicts time-to-adoption-saturation: t_sat * gamma_2 in [0.7, 1.3] across panels7.0
- Two-tier conditional Psi advantage: Delta >= +0.08 at d_intrinsic <= 5 reverses to Delta <= -0.05 at d_intrinsic >= 8 with monotone interior gradient6.6
- TwoNN-intrinsic-dim regime boundary: Psi-vs-persona AUC-Delta drops by 0.05-0.15 per unit d_intrinsic in the (5,8] band6.1
2026-04-22-targeTargetedExtreme Value Theory × Private-Wealth Advisory under Regime Uncertainty
- Basel III FRTB Standardized Approach Calibrated on Normal-Regime Windows Behaves Functionally as xi ≈ 0 Until Forced Recalibration: A Regime-Aware ES Correction Using Dynamic Hill Estimation Recovers Capital Underestimation8.8
- Private-Bank Client Defections During Regime Shifts Form a POT Process; Retention Exceedances Converge to GPD_{xi,beta} — Advisor Churn-Resistance is a Measurable xi-Attenuation Coefficient7.8
- Advisor Successions Are xi-Stable iff Post-Transition xi_c ≤ max(xi_{pre}, xi_{successor-baseline}) + ε: A Formal Criterion for Protocol-Quality in Private-Bank Advisor Turnover7.5
- The Advisor xi-Ledger: Expected ES-Reduction Per Client-Year Achieved via xi-Attenuation — Integrating H1-H4 Into Private-Bank P&L Under FTG-Universality Accounting7.3
- Client Trust in Advisor = 1/xi_c: Trust as a Tail-Sensitivity Asset Priceable via EVT Expected Shortfall, Elicited via Percentile-Scale Subjective-Loss Questionnaires7.2